> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.jup.ag/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

# Predict FAQ

> Frequently asked questions about Jupiter Prediction Markets.

## General

<AccordionGroup>
  <Accordion title="What is Jupiter Predict?" icon="circle-info">
    Jupiter Predict is a prediction market experience on Solana. It lets you trade on the outcome of real-world events by buying YES or NO contracts. If your side wins, each winning contract pays \$1 worth of the market's settlement asset. If your side loses, the contract expires worthless.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="What categories of events are available?" icon="layer-group">
    Jupiter Predict lists events across categories like Sports, Crypto, Politics, Esports, Culture, Economics, Tech, Finance, Weather, and Mentions. The available categories and markets can change as new events are added or removed.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="What is Mentions?" icon="quote-left">
    Mentions groups markets that predict what public figures, publications, or media will say. Each market lists words, names, or topics, and you trade on whether they will be mentioned according to the market's rules.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="What is the difference between Browse and Degen?" icon="code-compare">
    **Browse** lists events across many categories, often with longer time horizons.

    **Degen** focuses on short-duration crypto price markets. You predict whether a token's price will move Up or Down over a fixed window.

    Both sections use the same basic wallet flow: review a quote, sign, and monitor the position. Settlement actions can vary by route: Profile shows whether the outcome is automatic, claimable, refundable, or final.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="Where do the markets come from?" icon="diagram-project">
    Jupiter Predict can surface markets from external prediction market providers and Jupiter-supported market integrations. Availability, trading actions, liquidity, and settlement timing can differ by market.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="What is the Leaderboard?" icon="trophy">
    The Leaderboard is a public ranking of traders on Jupiter Predict. You can sort by PnL, Volume, or Win Rate, and filter by time period. Traders are identified by truncated wallet address.
  </Accordion>
</AccordionGroup>

## Trading

<AccordionGroup>
  <Accordion title="What token do I need to trade?" icon="dollar-sign">
    Predict uses dollar-pegged assets for trading and settlement. The exact funding token can depend on the selected market and route.

    The order panel shows the token, estimated contracts, fees, and expected payout before you sign. You also need a small amount of SOL for Solana network fees.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="What is a contract?" icon="file-contract">
    A contract is a claim tied to one side of a market. A winning contract pays \$1 worth of the market's settlement asset. A losing contract pays \$0.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="What does the price of a contract mean?" icon="chart-line">
    The price reflects what traders are currently willing to pay for that side. A YES contract at \$0.70 means the market is pricing YES at about 70 cents.

    Prices are set by supply and demand. They are not guaranteed probabilities.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="Are there order minimums or maximums?" icon="sliders">
    Yes. Predict enforces order minimums, and some short-duration markets can also have maximum order sizes. The app shows the current limits in the order panel.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="What is the difference between Market and Limit orders?" icon="code-compare">
    A **Market order** attempts to execute at the best available price for the selected side.

    A **Limit order** lets you set a target price and wait for a match.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="Are limit orders available right now?" icon="circle-pause">
    Limit orders are **temporarily paused**. The Limit tab may appear in the UI, but new limit orders are not currently available.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="What happens if my order does not fill?" icon="rotate-left">
    If an order cannot execute, or only partially executes, unused funds are returned automatically. Trading fees are charged only on the executed portion.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="Why can't I buy this market?" icon="ban">
    Common reasons include:

    * The market is closed, upcoming, or view-only.
    * Liquidity is too low for the requested amount.
    * The selected route is temporarily unavailable.
    * Trading is unavailable in your region.
    * The amount is below the minimum or above the market's maximum.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="Can I sell part of my position?" icon="circle-xmark">
    No. The UI does not support partial closes. Clicking **Close** sells all contracts in that market side.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="Can I sell my contracts before the market settles?" icon="arrow-right-from-bracket">
    Usually, yes, while the market is open and there is enough liquidity. Once trading stops and the market is closed for settlement, you can no longer sell.

    Sells execute at the bid price, so closing a position has a spread cost.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="Why can't I close my position right now?" icon="lock">
    The most common reasons:

    * The market has reached its close time.
    * Liquidity is too low to fill the close.
    * The route or market integration is temporarily unavailable.
    * The position is already waiting for claim, refund, or final settlement.

    If you expect the market to still be open and the position looks stuck, raise a ticket via [Discord](https://discord.gg/jup).
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="Is there slippage protection?" icon="shield-halved">
    Yes. Quotes include price protection. If the price or liquidity changes too much before execution, the order may fail instead of executing at a much worse price. Any unused funds are returned automatically.
  </Accordion>
</AccordionGroup>

## Fees

<AccordionGroup>
  <Accordion title="What fees do I pay?" icon="receipt">
    Fees are shown in the order quote before you sign. They are charged only on executed trades.

    Depending on the market and route, a trade may include provider fees, Jupiter fees, route fees, and normal Solana network costs.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="Why can fees vary by market?" icon="circle-question">
    Predict markets can use different sources and routes. A provider market, a short-duration crypto market, and a swap-routed trade may not have the same fee structure.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="Are there fees on claims or refunds?" icon="circle-check">
    Predict does not charge trading fees on claims or refunds. Solana network fees may still apply when you sign a transaction.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="Do I pay fees if my order does not fill?" icon="ban">
    No trading fee is charged on the unfilled portion of an order.
  </Accordion>
</AccordionGroup>

## Settlement

<AccordionGroup>
  <Accordion title="How are outcomes decided?" icon="gavel">
    Each market has rules that define how the outcome is determined. The market source or integration determines the result according to those rules. Some market routes record eligible results on-chain, while other integrations may settle through their own route.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="Who resolves disputes?" icon="scale-balanced">
    Disputes are handled by the market's source or resolution process. Jupiter records eligible on-chain results and does not independently rewrite market outcomes.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="How long does settlement take?" icon="clock">
    Settlement depends on the market. The real-world event must conclude, the market source must determine the result, and final status must be available in Profile.

    Some markets settle quickly after the source result is available. Others can take longer if the result is delayed, disputed, or needs investigation.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="What's the difference between resolved, claimed, and refunded?" icon="code-compare">
    **Resolved** means the market result has been finalized and Profile has settlement status. For some market routes, this includes an on-chain result.

    **Claimed** means a winning payout has been credited to your wallet.

    **Refunded** means an eligible refund has been credited to your wallet.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="Do I have to claim manually?" icon="hand">
    Use your Profile as the source of truth. If a position is claimable, click **Claim** and sign in your wallet.

    A claimable payout does not disappear just because you did not click immediately, but it is best to claim once the action appears.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="What happens if a market does not resolve at the scheduled time?" icon="hourglass-half">
    A market can remain pending if the real-world outcome is unclear, the source is waiting for an authoritative result, or the settlement route needs investigation.

    While the market is closed and waiting for settlement, you cannot close the position. If a market remains unresolved for an unusually long time, raise a ticket via [Discord](https://discord.gg/jup).
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="What happens if a market is cancelled or voided?" icon="ban">
    If a market is cancelled, voided, or resolved as refundable, eligible positions can receive a refund after final settlement status is available. Eligible refunds are processed on-chain and reflected in Profile. Profile shows the refund status and any available action.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="Why does my position still show as pending after the source market resolved?" icon="hourglass-half">
    There can be a delay between source resolution and final status updating on Jupiter. Once settlement status is available, your Profile updates to show claim, refund, lost, or final status.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="What happens to losing positions?" icon="circle-xmark">
    If a market resolves against your position, your contracts expire worthless. You receive no payout and no action is needed.
  </Accordion>
</AccordionGroup>

## Risks

<AccordionGroup>
  <Accordion title="Can I lose all my money?" icon="triangle-exclamation">
    Yes. If the market resolves against your prediction, your contracts expire worthless and you can lose the full amount spent on them.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="What are the main risks?" icon="list-check">
    The main risks include losing your full position, low liquidity, wide spreads, slippage, route failures, settlement delays, source disputes, stablecoin risks, and regulatory restrictions. See the Risks section in the [Overview](/user-docs/trade/predict#risks) for more detail.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="Are prediction markets regulated?" icon="building-columns">
    The regulatory status of prediction markets varies by jurisdiction. Users are responsible for understanding whether prediction market trading is permitted where they are located.
  </Accordion>
</AccordionGroup>

## Account and Access

<AccordionGroup>
  <Accordion title="Do I need SOL to use Predict?" icon="coins">
    Yes, a small amount. Solana charges transaction fees, and some on-chain accounts require temporary rent deposits. Rent is recovered automatically when eligible accounts are closed.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="Is Jupiter Predict available in my country?" icon="earth-americas">
    Trading is unavailable in some regions, including the United States and South Korea. Availability in other regions depends on local regulations. Jupiter does not provide legal advice.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="Where can I see my positions and history?" icon="user">
    Click **Profile** at the top of the Predict page. You can view active positions, open orders when available, history, claims, and refunds.
  </Accordion>
</AccordionGroup>