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Jupiter Predict (jup.ag/prediction) is a prediction market on Solana. You trade on the outcome of real-world events, from elections and football matches to crypto prices, by buying contracts on one side of a market: YES or NO, or Up or Down on short price markets. Markets come from external prediction market providers, mainly Polymarket, and from Jupiter-supported market integrations. Availability, liquidity, and settlement timing can differ by market.

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How does a prediction pay out?

A winning contract pays $1 worth of the market’s settlement asset. A losing contract expires worthless. The price of a contract, between $0.01 and $0.99, reflects how likely the market thinks that side is. For example, you buy 10 YES contracts at $0.30 each, so you spend $3 before fees. If the market resolves to YES, you receive $10, a $7 profit before fees. If it resolves to NO, you lose the $3. You do not have to wait for the result: while the market is open and liquidity allows, you can sell your contracts at the current bid. Some markets, such as sports ticket markets, must be held to resolution. See How Predict works for contracts, prices, and orders.

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What can you do on Jupiter Predict?

Browse

Events across sports, politics, crypto, culture, finance, and more, with Trending and Live feeds.

Sports markets

Match markets such as moneyline, spreads, totals, and exact score, including no-fee ticket markets.

Degen

5- and 15-minute Up or Down markets on crypto prices and SpaceX.

Arcade

One-minute BTC and SOL Up or Down rounds, paid from a shared pool.

Clans

Trader groups competing in a weekly PnL race for cash and Gacha rewards.

Profile

Your PnL, positions, open orders, and history, and where you close positions.

Leaderboard

Traders ranked by PnL, volume, or win rate.

Activity

Live trades and large bets, with Copy bet.

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What are the risks?

Prediction markets carry real financial risk. Read the points below before trading.
  • You can lose your entire position. If the outcome goes against your prediction, your contracts expire worthless.
  • Prices reflect current demand, not certainty. Markets can be wrong, illiquid, or slow to react to new information.
  • Liquidity varies. Some markets have wide spreads or low depth, which can make it hard to buy or sell at the displayed price.
  • Sells execute at the bid. Closing a position usually returns less than the displayed mid price because of the spread.
  • Settlement depends on market rules and integrations, and it is not instant. There can be a delay between market close, source resolution, and claim or refund availability.
  • Token and stablecoin risks apply. Trades and payouts use dollar-pegged assets, which can carry issuer, liquidity, and depeg risk.
  • Regulatory restrictions apply. Prediction markets may be restricted or regulated where you live, trading on Predict is unavailable in some regions, and the Jupiter Mobile app restricts more regions than the web. See the Terms of Use.

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Where do I go next?

  • Get started: what you need and your first prediction, step by step.
  • Fees: trading fees by market type.
  • Settlement and payouts: how markets resolve and how to claim.
  • FAQ: answers to common questions and what to send support.