General
What is Jupiter Predict?
What is Jupiter Predict?
Jupiter Predict is a prediction market platform on Solana. It lets you trade on the outcome of real-world events by buying YES or NO contracts. If your prediction is correct, each winning contract pays $1 USDC. If your prediction is wrong, the contract expires worthless.
What categories of events are available?
What categories of events are available?
Jupiter Predict lists events across Sports, Crypto, Politics, Esports, Culture, Economics, Tech, Finance, and Weather. The available events depend on what the upstream providers (Kalshi and Polymarket) offer.
What is the difference between Browse and Degen?
What is the difference between Browse and Degen?
Browse shows events across all categories, typically with longer time horizons (elections, championships, economic decisions). Markets are sourced from Kalshi and Polymarket.Degen focuses on short-duration micro-bets on crypto price movements. You predict whether a token’s price will go Up or Down within a 5-minute or 15-minute window.Both sections use the same wallet, the same USDC token, and the same contract logic ($1 payout per winning contract).
Where do the markets come from?
Where do the markets come from?
Jupiter does not create markets directly. Markets are sourced from upstream providers, currently Kalshi (a CFTC-regulated exchange) and Polymarket (a crypto-native prediction market). Jupiter’s architecture is provider-agnostic: all markets use the same interface regardless of the source.
What is the 'For You' tab?
What is the 'For You' tab?
“For You” shows personalized event recommendations based on your trading activity. It highlights markets that may be relevant to your interests.
What is the Leaderboard?
What is the Leaderboard?
The Leaderboard is a public ranking of traders on Jupiter Predict. You can sort by PnL, Volume, or Win Rate, and filter by time period (All Time, Weekly, Monthly). Traders are identified by their truncated wallet address.
Trading
What token do I need to trade?
What token do I need to trade?
All trading and payouts on Jupiter Predict use USDC. You also need a small amount of SOL in your wallet to cover Solana transaction fees.
What is a contract?
What is a contract?
A contract is a claim on 1 USDC. If the market resolves against you, the contract is worth $0.
What does the price of a contract mean?
What does the price of a contract mean?
The price reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome. A YES contract at 1.00.Prices are set by supply and demand among traders. They are not guaranteed probabilities.
What is the difference between Market and Limit orders?
What is the difference between Market and Limit orders?
A Market order executes immediately at the best available price. It has a built-in slippage tolerance of ±$0.02. If the price moves beyond that range, the order won’t execute and your USDC is returned.A Limit order lets you set a specific price. Your order waits on the book until the market reaches your price.
What happens if my order doesn't fill?
What happens if my order doesn't fill?
If a market order is not filled within 2 minutes, your full USDC amount is returned to your wallet. There is no fee for unfilled orders.
Can I sell part of my position?
Can I sell part of my position?
This is currently being verified. The UI shows a “Close All” button on positions. Check back for updates on partial close support.
Is there slippage protection?
Is there slippage protection?
Yes. Market orders have a built-in slippage tolerance of ±$0.02 from the displayed price. If the market moves beyond this range before your order executes, the order is cancelled and your USDC is returned.
Can I sell my contracts before the market settles?
Can I sell my contracts before the market settles?
Yes. You can close your position at any time before the market closes. Your contracts are sold at the current bid price. Keep in mind that there is always a spread between the buy (ask) and sell (bid) price, so closing a position has a cost even if the market hasn’t moved.
Fees
What fees do I pay?
What fees do I pay?
A trading fee is charged on each executed trade (buys and sells). The fee depends on the contract price, the number of contracts, and the upstream venue.Trades priced closer to 0.01 or $0.99 have lower fees. Fees are rounded up to the nearest cent.
Does Jupiter charge additional fees?
Does Jupiter charge additional fees?
Jupiter does not charge fees on top of the venue fee. The fees you see are charged by the upstream provider operating the market.
Are there fees on claims?
Are there fees on claims?
No. Claiming your winnings after a market settles is free.
Do I pay fees if my order doesn't fill?
Do I pay fees if my order doesn't fill?
No. Fees are only charged on executed trades. If your order expires unfilled, no fee is charged.
Settlement
How are outcomes decided?
How are outcomes decided?
Each market has a “Rules summary” that defines how the outcome will be determined. The upstream provider (Kalshi or Polymarket) evaluates the result based on these rules and reports it. Jupiter records the result on-chain and follows the provider’s determination.
Who resolves disputes?
Who resolves disputes?
Disputes are handled by the upstream provider, not by Jupiter. Jupiter follows the settlement result provided by the venue. Each market’s rules section describes how the provider determines outcomes.
How long does settlement take?
How long does settlement take?
Settlement timing varies. Each position shows an “Est. Settlement Time” in the Profile page, giving you an estimate of when the market will resolve.
What happens to losing positions?
What happens to losing positions?
If a market resolves against your position, your contracts expire worthless. You receive no payout and the position is marked as lost. No action is needed on your part.
What happens if a market is cancelled or voided?
What happens if a market is cancelled or voided?
This depends on the upstream provider’s rules. Check the market’s rules section for details on how exceptional cases are handled.
Risks
Can I lose all my money?
Can I lose all my money?
Yes. If the market resolves against your prediction, your contracts expire worthless and you lose the full amount you spent on them. Only trade amounts you can afford to lose.
What are the main risks?
What are the main risks?
The main risks include: losing your full position if the outcome goes against you, low liquidity in some markets (which can make it hard to exit at a fair price), slippage on market orders, and reliance on external providers for settlement. See the Risks section in the Overview for a full breakdown.
Are prediction markets regulated?
Are prediction markets regulated?
The regulatory status of prediction markets varies by jurisdiction. Jupiter sources markets from Kalshi (CFTC-regulated in the US) and Polymarket. Jupiter itself does not operate as a regulated exchange. Users are responsible for understanding the legal implications of using prediction markets in their region.
Account and Access
Do I need SOL to use Predict?
Do I need SOL to use Predict?
Yes, a small amount. Solana charges a transaction fee (approximately 0.000005 SOL per transaction) and creating accounts on-chain requires a rent deposit (approximately 0.002 SOL), which is recovered when the account is closed. In total, you need a few cents worth of SOL in your wallet.
Is Jupiter Predict available in my country?
Is Jupiter Predict available in my country?
Jupiter Predict restricts access from US and South Korea IP addresses. Availability in other regions depends on local regulations. Jupiter does not provide legal advice on whether prediction market trading is permitted in your jurisdiction.
Where can I see my positions and history?
Where can I see my positions and history?
Click the Profile tab at the top of the Predict page. You’ll find three tabs: Positions (active holdings), Open Orders (pending limit orders), and History (past trades, settlements, and claims).